Use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS to get $1,500 bonus bets by targeting Lions-Bills, NFL Thursday Night Football — SkimNews
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- BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS gives new users $150 in bonus bets on a first-bet win or up to $1,500 if the qualifying wager loses, with the offer varying by location
- Buffalo Bills are 5-point home favorites over the visiting Detroit Lions for Thursday Night Football, with the SportsLine Projection Model backing the Over 54.5 total points (projected to hit in 56% of simulations)
- Detroit Lions will be without offensive linemen Christian Mahogany (hip) and Blake Miller (knee), plus safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch on defense — the same defense that was on the field for 86 plays in Sunday's 31-30 overtime win over New Orleans
- Josh Allen is backed for Over 251.5 passing yards by expert R.J. White after Allen threw for 334 yards against the Texans in Week 1, leaning on DJ Moore and Dalton Kincaid
- Combining Bills -5, Over 54.5, and Allen Over 251.5 passing yards into a same-game parlay at BetMGM Sportsbook would pay +400 (risk $100 to profit $400)
- Per Clevanalytics data cited by expert Larry Hartstein, road teams coming off an overtime game on Thursday Night Football are 3-16 ATS, failing to cover by 7.7 points per game
- The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 on a 53-39 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024 and is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception
Why it matters: SportsLine's model and two of its experts are aligned on offensive firepower: both teams scored and allowed at least 30 points in Week 1, Detroit's defense is banged up after an 86-play overtime game, and the 3-16 ATS historical trend for road teams off OT on TNF directly favors Buffalo backers — making the Bills -5 and Over 54.5 the highest-confidence plays among the three-leg parlay at BetMGM.
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