USMNT vs. Canada prediction, odds, time: Expert reveals soccer picks for Oct. 6 international friendly — SkimNews
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- USMNT enters Tuesday's match at Allianz Field in St. Paul, Minn. (8 p.m. ET kickoff) looking to snap a two-match losing streak against Canada and extend a three-match overall winning run after Saturday's 3-0 rout of Mexico.
- Canada defeated the U.S. 2-1 in the Concacaf Nations League Finals third-place playoff in March 2025, the most recent meeting; the U.S. still leads the all-time series 17-13-12 (W-D-L).
- Betting markets list the U.S. as -165 favorites on the 90-minute money line, with Canada at +370, a draw at +320, and the over/under set at 2.5 goals.
- SportsLine expert Martin Green is backing the Over 2.5, citing that the U.S. have scored two or more goals in five of seven 2026 friendlies and went 11-8 in goals at the World Cup, with both teams showing recent scoring form.
- Forward Julian Hall has emerged as a bright spot for the Americans, scoring in Saturday's win and tallying three goals in three national team appearances at age 18.
- Canada reached the World Cup Round of 16 and enters on back-to-back friendly wins (1-0 over Chile on Sept. 26, 2-0 over Peru on Saturday), with midfielder Jacob Shaffelburg scoring both goals vs. Peru to give him eight in 38 caps.
Why it matters: Both squads are using the friendly as a tune-up — the U.S. fine-tuning ahead of a potential 2026 World Cup push and Canada building on its Round of 16 appearance — but the betting market (U.S. -165, Over 2.5 at 2.5 goals) signals a matchup tilted toward a high-scoring American win, with SportsLine's Green locking in plus-money best bets on the total.
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