USMNT vs. Mexico Odds, Expert Picks for Oct. 3 Friendly — SkimNews
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- USMNT enters Saturday on a two-match winning streak, beating Peru 4-1 on Sept. 26 and Chile 4-2 on Tuesday, having scored two or more goals in four of six 2026 friendlies.
- Mexico has played to consecutive draws, tying Colombia 1-1 on Sept. 26 and Peru 1-1 on Tuesday, but has outscored opponents 17-4 across 10 international friendlies in 2026.
- Oddsmakers list Mexico as a +130 favorite on the 90-minute money line, with USA at +175 and a draw at +290, while the over/under sits at 2.5 goals.
- Sebastian Berhalter has scored twice for the U.S. this week, giving him four goals across 20 career national team appearances.
- Johan Vasquez has notched two goals in Mexico's last four matches as captain.
- Mexico leads the all-time series against the U.S. 38-17-24, per the source.
- Jon Eimer, SportsLine soccer insider, has locked in over 2.5 goals as his best bet for the Oct. 3 matchup.
Why it matters: Both teams are producing offense at a high clip in 2026 — Mexico 17 goals scored to 4 conceded across 10 friendlies, the U.S. averaging at least two goals per friendly — but Mexico's +130 favorite tag and historical dominance (38-17-24 all-time) make the over/under 2.5 a sharply contested line for bettors weighing recent form versus the long-term head-to-head.
Ask SkimNews
