NFL Week 4 Picks: Browns Stun Steelers, Bengals Edge Jaguars — SkimNews
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- Pittsburgh Steelers are historically the NFL's worst Thursday road team (3-16 since 1970, 0-9 in divisional Thursday road games since 1980), with a 42-year-old quarterback facing Cleveland on three days' rest
- Cleveland Browns have won four straight home games against Pittsburgh and sit at 2-1, tied for first in the AFC North under offensive coordinator Todd Monken
- Dallas Cowboys became the first NFL team to fly at least 5,000 miles for a game — last week's trip to Rio de Janeiro — and not receive extra rest the following week, forcing a road game at Houston
- Past teams that traveled 4,400+ miles without a bye (the 2021 Dolphins and 2025 Broncos to London) were outscored a combined 53-22 through the first 49 minutes of their next games, foreshadowing the Cowboys' Week 4 fate
- Jacksonville Jaguars have won 10 of their past 11 regular-season games by an average of 20.6 points, though QB Trevor Lawrence has been pulled early in seven of those 11 games
- Trevor Lawrence is 0-3 lifetime against the Cincinnati Bengals — the only team he has faced three or more times and never beaten — making Sunday a steep test for a Jags defense that has yet to face a top-tier quarterback
- Week 3 produced 12 games decided by one score (tied for the most in NFL history), highlighted by the Philadelphia Eagles losing to third-string QB Case Keenum, who now has more passing touchdowns on the year than Drake Maye
Why it matters: The predictions rest on two verifiable patterns: Pittsburgh is 3-16 in Thursday road games since 1970 and 0-9 in divisional Thursday road games, while Dallas became the first NFL team in history to fly 5,000+ miles and not receive extra rest. Dallas's exhaustion disadvantage is the most unique angle — a schedule anomaly no previous team has absorbed without a bye.
Ask SkimNews
