UFC Fight Night odds, lines, predictions, time: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres picks by elite MMA expert
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- Rafael Fiziev (-115) faces Manuel Torres (-105) in Saturday's UFC Fight Night lightweight main event at the National Gymnastics Arena in Baku, with the six-bout main card starting at approximately noon ET on Paramount+.
- Fiziev, 33, has lost four of his last five fights and is coming off a second-round KO defeat to Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 325 on Feb. 1, compiling a 13-5 career record with eight wins by knockout and a 39-8 Muay Thai mark.
- Torres, 31, rides a two-bout winning streak since defeating Grant Dawson at UFC 323 in December, holding a 17-3 career record and UFC lightweight division records for most knockdowns per 15 minutes (3.51) and third-most significant strikes per minute (7.25).
- SportsLine expert Kyle Marley is backing Javier Reyes (-166) via TKO against Kaan Ofli (+140) on the preliminary card, saying Reyes is 'more dangerous everywhere' and that Ofli 'needs to slow this fight down and control Reyes on the mat.'
- Marley is up nearly $10,000 over the past three-plus years and over $21,000 since May 2018 following his UFC betting picks, including five consecutive main-event underdog winners in 2020.
- The main card also features Shara Magomedov (-345) vs. Michel Pereira (+275), Nazim Sadykhov (-245) vs. Matheus Camilo (+200), Asu Almabaev (-230) vs. Charles Johnson (+190), Ikram Aliskerov (-290) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+235), and Abusupiyan Magomedov (-135) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (+114).
Why it matters: Torres holds the UFC lightweight knockdown record yet sits as a slight underdog against a Fiziev who's dropped four of five — and the razor-thin -115/-115 line reflects that tension. Bettors following Marley's model have banked nearly $10,000 in just three-plus years, so his undercard TKO call on Reyes carries real track-record weight ahead of a six-fight card.
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