Fiziev vs. Torres UFC Odds: Torres Slight Baku Favorite

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- UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres takes place Saturday at the National Gymnastics Arena in Baku, Azerbaijan, with a six-bout main card starting at approximately noon ET on Paramount+
- Manuel Torres is a slight -112 favorite over Rafael Fiziev (-108) in the lightweight main event at DraftKings Sportsbook, with Fiziev ranked 11th and Torres ranked 15th
- Rafael Fiziev (33) is coming off a second-round knockout loss to Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 325 on Feb. 1 and has dropped four of his last five fights, while Manuel Torres (31) defeated Grant Dawson at UFC 323 in December and rides a two-bout winning streak
- Manuel Torres holds the most knockdowns per 15 minutes in UFC lightweight history (3.51) and the third-most significant strikes landed per minute (7.25), and is a five-time Performance of the Night honoree
- SportsLine expert Kyle Marley is backing Javier Reyes (-250) to win via TKO against Kaan Ofli (+205) in a featherweight preliminary, citing Reyes as 'the better striker' who can overwhelm Ofli early
- Marley's UFC picks have returned well over $21,000 since May 2018, with $100 bettors following him up nearly $10,000 over the past three-plus years
- UFC Fight Night's main card also features Shara Magomedov (-375) vs. Michel Pereira, Nazim Sadykhov (-180) vs. Matheus Camilo, Asu Almabaev (-325) vs. Charles Johnson, Ikram Aliskerov (-290) vs. Brunno Ferreira, and Abusupiyan Magomedov (+102) vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (-122)
Why it matters: Torres at only -112 despite owning the all-time UFC lightweight record for knockdowns per 15 minutes (3.51) shows how much respect Fiziev's Muay Thai pedigree (39-8 record, 29 KOs) commands from oddsmakers. Marley's heavily juiced Reyes pick (-250) signals limited upset value elsewhere on the Baku card.
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