Florida State vs. Alabama odds, picks, predictions, betting preview for Week 3 college football matchup — SkimNews

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- Florida State travels to Tuscaloosa for a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff on Saturday, Sept. 19, one year after their 31-17 Week 1 upset of Alabama in Tallahassee
- Mike Norvell is on arguably the hottest seat in college football after FSU fired athletic director Michael Alford during the bye week following a Week 2 loss to SMU
- Alabama improved to 2-0 with a 45-17 win over Kentucky, trailing 17-16 at halftime before outscoring the Wildcats 29-0 the rest of the way
- Ashton Daniels has stabilized the FSU quarterback spot, while Alabama's Keelon Russell struggled in his first road start but got help from a dominant second-half run game featuring Daniel Hill, EJ Crowell and Trae'shawn Brown
- The SportsLine Projection Model — upgraded for 2026 to better factor in the transfer portal — projects Over 48.5 points in 52.5% of its 10,000 simulations
- DraftKings is offering $200 in bonus bets for $5+ wagers on the matchup
Why it matters: Alabama gets a home chance to bury last year's upset while Florida State enters the game in crisis mode — an athletic director fired mid-bye-week and a head coach whose job security is openly questioned. The SportsLine model's 52.5% lean toward the over and the lean toward a Crimson Tide trenches advantage frame this as a measuring-stick game for DeBoer's team before conference play heats up.
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