UCLA vs. Oregon prediction, odds, time: Week 6 college football picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- No. 21 UCLA faces No. 13 Oregon Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+ at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, with Oregon an 11.5-point favorite and the over/under at 59.5
- UCLA is 4-0 overall (2-0 Big Ten, 2-0 on the road) coming off a 54-3 win at Maryland on Sept. 26, while Oregon (3-1, 1-0 Big Ten) topped USC 41-27 the same day
- Oregon Ducks lead this series' recent history with 11 wins in the past 12 meetings, though UCLA still leads the all-time series 40-33
- The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the game 10,000 times and is going Under 59.5, projecting 57 combined points and a hit rate of 58% on the Under
- The model projects a Oregon offensive dropoff with Dante Moore out, while UCLA quarterback Nico Iamaleava is projected for 1.36 passing touchdowns on average
- Iamaleava has completed 62.6% of his passes for 820 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions this season, backed by running back Wayne Knight's 49 carries for 445 yards and nine scores
- SportsLine's model entered Week 6 on a 40-35 run on top-rated college football picks, per the source
Why it matters: The SportsLine model backing the Under 59.5 — partly tied to a projected Oregon offensive dropoff without Dante Moore — offers bettors a data-driven counter to a game where the Ducks are 11.5-point home favorites despite UCLA entering on a 54-3 rout of Maryland. With Oregon having won 11 of the past 12 meetings, the model's lean is the kind of contrarian number that could matter to anyone sizing up Big Ten spread or total tickets.
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