No. 7 LSU at No. 8 Ole Miss: Model Picks Under — SkimNews
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- Lane Kiffin returns to Oxford Saturday night as his No. 7 LSU Tigers open SEC play against No. 8 Ole Miss at 7:30 p.m. ET at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
- LSU sits as a 3-point favorite after a 51-10 demolition of Clemson in Week 1, while Ole Miss needed 41 points to slip past Louisville 41-38
- The SportsLine Projection Model projects 52 combined points — Under its 58.5 total — hitting in 60% of 10,000 simulations
- Sam Leavitt is modeled for 262 passing yards and 1.6 touchdowns for LSU, while Ole Miss's Trinidad Chambliss is projected at 267 yards and 1.8 TDs, with Kewan Lacy rushing for 79 yards
- LSU's defense has surrendered just 12 points per game through two weeks, a key factor in the model's Under lean against an Ole Miss offense that has scored exactly 41 in both contests
Why it matters: LSU is laying a field goal on the road against a ranked rival, and the model's Under lean hinges on a Tigers defense allowing just 12 points per game facing a Rebels offense stuck on 41. With SEC standings, national title stakes, and Kiffin's homecoming layered on top, the sims frame this as a grinding, lower-scoring clash rather than the shootout the total implies.
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