Wilson's 2027 NFL mock draft: Arch Manning falls out of Round 1 where five QBs are taken — SkimNews
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- Arch Manning is left out of Round 1 altogether in Wilson's 2027 NFL Mock Draft 2.0, a major revision from version 1.0 where his traits were repeatedly called 'special' — the author now says the Texas QB 'hasn't even looked like a first-rounder'
- Five quarterbacks are taken in Round 1: Darian Mensah (Miami) at No. 3 to Arizona, Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) at No. 5 to the Jets, Dante Moore (Oregon) at No. 10 to Atlanta, and Jayden Maiava (USC) at No. 20 to Minnesota
- Jeremiah Smith (Ohio State WR) is the No. 1 overall pick to Miami, with Wilson noting he's 'the best player in college football, and it may not be particularly close'
- Dante Moore is kept in the mock despite a current injury and a rough start to the 2026 season; Wilson notes Moore would've been the No. 2 pick in the 2026 draft had he declared, and that highly drafted QBs typically land with poor O-lines
- The New York Jets hold three first-round picks — their own, the Cowboys' from the Quinnen Williams trade, and the Colts' from the Sauce Gardner trade — with the Cowboys and Browns also holding extra first-rounders from the Micah Parsons and Myles Garrett deals
- CJ Carr and Drew Mestemaker are making 'real cases' as first-rounders but are assumed to return to college for 2027, while Wilson floats that Manning himself could return to Texas for another season
- The mock draft order was determined using reverse Super Bowl odds at DraftKings Sportsbook, and the article notes Chambliss — projected as a 25-year-old rookie — has been 'one of the best QBs in college football' against SEC competition
Why it matters: Once-hyped as a potential No. 1 pick, Manning falling out of Round 1 entirely in a single mock cycle shows how quickly draft stock can flip when play doesn't match traits. The five quarterbacks still projected in Round 1 — led by Darian Mensah and Trinidad Chambliss — confirm scouts still view this as a legitimately deep class, just not where the pre-season consensus expected.
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