Bills Projected to Win Super Bowl Over Vikings — SkimNews
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- Stephen Oh simulated the remaining 165 regular-season games plus 13 playoff games for the 2026 season, projecting all eight division winners, the 14-team playoff field and a Super Bowl champion.
- Bills (5-1) took the projected No. 1 AFC seed after the Chiefs' Week 7 loss and, for the first time this season, are projected to win the Super Bowl, with a 12.97% title chance ahead of the Vikings' 11.15%.
- Vikings (6-0) seized the projected No. 1 NFC seed as the NFL's only undefeated team after the 49ers' Week 7 defeat, with Minnesota also projected to knock off San Francisco 23-20 in the NFC Championship.
- Cowboys (3-4) are projected to win the NFC East for the first time this season at a 38.5% division chance versus the Giants' 37.3%, helped by the fourth-easiest remaining schedule, yet the model still has Dallas losing 33-30 to the Lions in the wild card round and missing the NFC title game for a fourth straight season since 2010.
- Bengals (4-2) are now projected to win the AFC North after becoming the first team in 75 years to win by at least 20 points following a 13-point halftime deficit in Week 7, with their only remaining road game against a winning team coming against the Browns in Week 13.
- Browns (5-2) are projected to finish 8-9 and miss the playoffs, extending their division title drought back to 1989.
- Josh Allen is projected to lead the Bills to a 26-21 win over the Vikings in Super Bowl LXI at SoFi Stadium for the franchise's first Lombardi Trophy, after Buffalo's 28-23 AFC title win over the Chiefs ends a 33-year Super Bowl appearance drought.
Why it matters: Buffalo's projection is a first this season: a 12.97% title chance ahead of Minnesota's 11.15%, paired with the franchise's first Lombardi Trophy and the end of a 33-year Super Bowl appearance drought. Dallas, by contrast, gets a division crown at 38.5% against the Giants' 37.3% but still lands in the Lions' path in the wild card round.
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