Study: Kelp Loss Could Turn Forests Into CO2 Sources — SkimNews

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- Karen Filbee-Dexter at the University of Western Australia led a study concluding that with 60% of kelp forests in decline, these ecosystems could begin emitting more CO2 than they absorb, urging a shift toward preservation over expansion.
- Running Tide, a US carbon removal start-up that raised $70 million to cultivate kelp on wooden buoys designed to sink into the deep sea, shut down last year after failing to grow kelp in the open ocean.
- Kelp restoration projects like a Norway experiment that poisoned sea urchins to regrow 70 hectares draw down only about 50,000 tonnes of CO2 per year — against global kelp loss emitting an estimated 14 million tonnes annually.
- Preserving kelp ecosystems is at least eight times cheaper per hectare than restoring them, yet only 2% of the world's kelp forests lie in protected areas.
- Seaweed farming now spans 4,000 square kilometres of ocean — roughly a third of the kelp forest area lost each year — and a separate study found nine of 11 seaweed farms emitted more CO2 than they sequestered.
- Filbee-Dexter says researchers should stop asking how much carbon seaweeds can remove and instead ask how much can be prevented from being released as warming damages these ecosystems.
- Pamela Walsh at Queen's University Belfast pushes back, arguing scientists lack enough data to dismiss macroalgae as a carbon sink, even if its potential has been exaggerated.
Why it matters: For governments and companies relying on seaweed to help meet net-zero pledges, the study reframes the economics: cultivation and restoration are expensive, mostly net-positive for emissions, and far slower than the rate of kelp loss. The cheaper, larger lever — protecting the 98% of kelp forests currently outside protected areas — has been an afterthought in blue-carbon policy.
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