Alabama vs. Tennessee CFB odds, parlay: Home team has dominated series, Tide try to avoid back-to-back losses — SkimNews
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- Alabama brings a 220-game regular-season streak without back-to-back losses (second only to Oklahoma's 245 from 1999-2020) into Saturday's 3:30 ET visit at No. 14 Tennessee on ABC, where 70% of tickets and 77% of money are on the Tide against the spread
- The Tide fell 20-17 at home to Georgia last week — their third straight loss to an AP Top-5 opponent — as QB Keelon Russell went 16-of-30 for 185 yards and saw his Heisman odds lengthen to +1700
- Tennessee will start redshirt freshman George MacIntyre over touted true freshman Faizon Brandon, who practiced this week but is still limited by a shoulder injury; MacIntyre had three turnovers in last week's 24-17 win over Arkansas
- Alabama's defense has nine interceptions this season including four pick-sixes and is allowing just 99.8 rushing yards per game, a key matchup against Tennessee RB DeSean Bishop, who has posted 358 rushing yards over the past two weeks
- The home team has won each of the past five in the series, and Tennessee is 2-22 in its last 24 home games against AP Top-10 teams, though both of those wins came against Alabama in Knoxville
- Playoff odds diverge sharply by outcome: Alabama's projected 71.3% College Football Playout probability (per the SportsLine model) drops to 52.9% with a loss; Tennessee's 33.6% rises to 51.6% with a win; SportsLine projects a 29-27 Alabama victory
Why it matters: Alabama's streak — already threatened by the Georgia loss — now runs into a Tennessee team that has won five straight home games in this series but is starting a backup freshman QB. The SportsLine model says the loser essentially halves (or in Tennessee's case, more than doubles) its projected playoff probability, reshaping the SEC title race and at-large math for both programs by kickoff's end.
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