Browns vs. Steelers predictions, odds, time: Week 4 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- SportsLine model projects the Under (38.5) in 56% of its 10,000 simulations, forecasting 37 combined points and fewer than 200 passing yards from both quarterbacks in Thursday Night Football at Huntington Bank Field
- Pittsburgh enters as a 2.5-point favorite at 8:15 p.m. ET despite a 4-5 road record since September 2024, coming off a 30-27 win over Cincinnati
- Cleveland seeks its third straight win after outlasting Carolina 21-18, but is just 4-6 at home since the start of last season
- Both teams rank in the NFL's bottom 10 in scoring through three weeks and both finished in the bottom eight in total offense last season, with two of three Pittsburgh games already going Under
- Steelers RB Rico Dowdle (toe) has been ruled out for Thursday, removing a key back as the model projects no rusher clearing 70 yards
- The model is on a 54-43 run on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 and has returned over $7,000 for $100 players since inception
Why it matters: The Under 38.5 hits in 56% of model simulations and one spread side hits in nearly 60%, giving bettors a lopsided algorithmic profile. Pittsburgh's 2.5-point favorite status is undercut by a 4-5 road mark since September 2024 and Rico Dowdle's toe injury. Both teams rank bottom 10 in scoring, supporting the model's defensive projection.
Ask SkimNews
