Chiefs Favored Over Colts on SNF; Expert Backs Under — SkimNews
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- Kansas City Chiefs host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, installed as 6-point favorites with a 45.5 over/under and -280 on the money line.
- The Chiefs opened the season with a 31-10 win over Denver, while the Colts fell 41-23 to Baltimore and have now lost eight consecutive games dating back to last season.
- Patrick Mahomes threw two touchdowns and ran for another against Denver but passed for just 184 yards, while Daniel Jones was held to 166 yards with one touchdown and one interception vs. Baltimore — both are recovering from injuries (Mahomes from ACL/MCL, Jones from Achilles).
- R.J. White, CBS Sports' managing editor of Fantasy and gambling, enters the matchup on a 31-19-3 roll on Colts picks, returning $1,004 to $100 players, and is leaning Under on the 45.5 total.
- Kansas City has seen the Under hit in 9 of its past 10 games, including each of the last six, and in 8 of the last 10 head-to-head matchups against Indianapolis.
- The Colts are 2-6 on the road since September 2025 and 8-8-2 ATS since last season, while the Chiefs sit at 7-10-1 ATS over the same span.
Why it matters: Both Mahomes (ACL/MCL) and Jones (Achilles) are working back from injuries, and the Under has hit in 9 of the last 10 Kansas City games. White's 31-19-3 documented roll on Colts picks gives bettors a quantified edge on a lopsided matchup where KC is a 6-point home favorite.
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