War and Inflation Stall Iranian Couples' Weddings — SkimNews

Get the Geopolitics newsletter
Daily geopolitics — wars, elections, sanctions, the diplomatic moves that move markets. Free.
- Dashti and his fiancee Sabzi postponed their Nowruz 1405 wedding after a television he'd budgeted at 70 million tomans ($302) rose to ~100 million tomans ($432); Dashti earns ~100 million tomans/month ($432), well above Iran's ~25 million toman average wage.
- Pejman and Sanaz married just after last year's 12-day war, but their Tehran apartment rent jumped 71% (from ~34 million to ~58 million tomans annually); Pejman earns 56 million tomans/month ($242), meaning the new rent alone would consume ~82% of his income.
- A mid-range Tehran wedding for ~100 guests now costs ~1.1 billion tomans ($4,752) — more than double the ~480 million tomans ($2,074) before the 2025 war; bridal makeup artist Simin Nouri says her Tehran salon went from 2-3 brides a day to 2-3 a week.
- The state-backed marriage loan rose from 180 million tomans/person ($778) in 2023 to 300 million tomans/person ($1,296), but bank employee Abbas Derafshi calculated its real purchasing power has fallen ~64% in dollar terms.
- A US strike in early September hit a wedding celebration in Kuhestak, southern Iran, killing several and wounding dozens — adding physical safety fears to young couples' financial calculus.
- 18-carat gold rose from ~6.48 million tomans/gram ($28) in June 2025 to >23 million tomans ($99) by mid-September 2026, a more than 3x increase that forced some couples to sell gold to cover marriage startup costs.
- Economist Amir Hossein Mohaddes argues the war was an accelerant, not the sole cause: "a refrigerator that has doubled in price does not fall back on its own," and Iran's economic crisis predates the current conflict.
Why it matters: War has accelerated, not caused, Iran's marriage freeze — the pre-existing inflation and housing crisis now meets military conflict, producing costs even peace cannot reverse. With mid-range wedding costs up 129% and rents up 71%, educated young couples like Pejman and Sanaz are now considering leaving Iran permanently.
Ask SkimNews



