Dodgers vs. Red Sox prediction, odds, time: 2026 MLB picks for 'Sunday Night Baseball' by proven model
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- Tarik Skubal was acquired by the Los Angeles Dodgers in a blockbuster trade early Sunday morning, though he will not debut until next week
- Boston Red Sox enter Sunday Night Baseball at 59-51 and riding a 22-4 stretch since the start of July, having won the first two games of the series to put the Dodgers on the brink of being swept
- Jake Bennett (6-4, 2.74 ERA) is scheduled to start for Boston opposite Dodgers right-hander Emmet Sheehan (4-7, 4.95 ERA) at 7:20 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium
- Los Angeles is listed as a -184 moneyline favorite with Boston at +156 and the over/under set at 8.5 runs
- SportsLine's projection model, entering Week 19 on a 39-23 run on top-rated MLB picks, is going Under 8.5 total runs after 10,000 simulations, projecting Bennett gives up 2.4 earned runs through six innings
- The model's Under hit rate aligns with recent trends — the Red Sox have gone Under in seven of their past eight games while the Dodgers have gone Under in three of their last four
Why it matters: Dodgers bettors laying -184 face a Red Sox team that has gone 22-4 since July 1 and already owns the first two games of the series, while the model's Under 8.5 lean rests on Boston's 57% season-long Under rate and the Dodgers' 54% — concrete edges for anyone betting the total rather than the heavy chalk on the moneyline.
