'Monday Night Football' prediction, odds, spread, time: Falcons vs. Saints picks from expert on 22-12 run — SkimNews

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- New Orleans Saints host the Atlanta Falcons at 8:15 p.m. ET from Caesars Superdome on Monday Night Football, with New Orleans favored by 1.5 points and the over/under set at 47.5.
- The Monday night matchup marks the Saints' 20th anniversary 'Domecoming' celebration commemorating the Superdome's reopening after Hurricane Katrina.
- Larry Hartstein is leaning Over 47.5 total points for the game, noting both offenses can move the ball; the Over has hit in five of the past nine Falcons games and two of the past three Saints matchups.
- Bijan Robinson rushed 29 times for 194 yards and two touchdowns in Atlanta's Week 3 35-14 win over Green Bay, powering a Falcons offense now bolstered by Michael Penix Jr.'s return at quarterback.
- Tyler Shough has thrown for 917 yards and eight touchdowns through three games for New Orleans, with Chris Olave posting 27 receptions for 375 yards, one touchdown, and six explosive plays of 20-plus yards (long of 47).
- The Saints placed running back Travis Etienne on injured reserve with a hamstring injury, removing a key piece from the New Orleans backfield.
- Hartstein enters on a 22-12-2 roll across his last 36 picks involving the Falcons, a stretch that has profited $826 per $100 wagered.
Why it matters: With both clubs sitting at 1-2, an NFC South loss here drops one team two games behind the division pace before October; Hartstein's Over lean is anchored by Atlanta's 194-yard Bijan Robinson ground game and Shough's eight-TD start, two offensive catalysts he expects to push the total past 47.5 despite New Orleans losing Etienne to injured reserve.
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