UFC Fight Night odds, lines, predictions, time: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa picks from elite MMA expert

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- Arnold Allen (ranked #7 featherweight) will fight Melquizael Costa (#12) in the main event of UFC Fight Night at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas on Saturday, streaming on Paramount+ at ~8 p.m. ET.
- DraftKings lists Arnold Allen as a -188 favorite (risk $188 to win $100) for the Allen vs. Costa bout.
- Melquizael Costa comes in off a knockout win over Da Ige, while Arnold Allen entered after a unanimous decision loss to Jean Silva at UFC 324.
- Kyle Marley, SportsLine’s MMA analyst, claims his UFC picks have netted $100 bettors nearly $10,000 in the past three years and over $21,000 since May 2018, including five straight main‑event underdog winners in 2020.
- Paramount+ is the exclusive streaming platform for the fight, offering a subscription starting at $8.99 per month with access to all UFC events and other sports content.
Why it matters: Betting on Allen at -188 favorite gives sportsbooks a clear favorite, while Marley's $10,000 returns for $100 bettors over three years illustrate the upside for SportsLine subscribers.
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