2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship longshot picks, PGA props: This golf parlay could return $45,000
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- SportsLine's model simulated the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship 10,000 times and locked in a six-leg parlay paying $45,000 on a $10 bet, after previously nailing 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters — its fifth Masters in a row.
- Russell Henley is picked over Si Woo Kim at +105, with Henley ranking 14th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: putting and inside the top 40 in total putting, versus Kim, who sits outside the top 100 in both categories.
- Si Woo Kim has never finished better than 14th in four career starts at TPC Southwind, and the model projects another finish outside the top 10, while Henley — who finished ahead of Kim in three of their last four shared events — is projected inside the top 10.
- Scottie Scheffler is the +480 favorite and Rory McIlroy sits at +1300 atop the odds board, but neither has ever won the St. Jude Championship or finished second.
- Michael Brennan, coming off a Sunday win, is priced at +4500 to go back-to-back and +385 for a top-10 finish as he plays TPC Southwind for the first time.
- Four of the last five St. Jude Championships have gone to a playoff, with the 2026 edition opening the FedEx Cup Playoffs at TPC Southwind in Memphis starting Thursday; the course features greens averaging 4,300 square feet, among the smallest on tour.
Why it matters: Bettors chasing value at TPC Southwind get a concrete matchup angle: the course's sub-4,300-square-foot greens reward elite putters like Henley (14th in SG: putting), while Kim — outside the top 100 in that stat and never better than 14th at TPC Southwind in four tries — gives the model's +105 leg a course-fit rationale rather than a vibes call.
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