Europe Faces Surging Wildfire Threat, New Research Shows

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- Europe could see its wildfire-burned land expand by about 39% by the end of the century.
- The 39% burned-area projection assumes greenhouse-gas emissions decline rapidly over the next few decades.
- Continued high emissions could increase Europe’s burned area by as much as 192%.
Why it matters: For European communities and land managers, the century’s end brings materially different wildfire scenarios: about 39% more land burned with rapid emissions cuts, versus as much as 192% with continued high emissions; the emissions path therefore determines how much European land burns.
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