Kalshi says it is not being investigated by the CFTC over trading activity — SkimNews

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- Kalshi said the CFTC has not contacted the company and does not believe a formal examination is underway, directly contradicting a Wall Street Journal report that the regulator was reviewing its trading activity before deciding whether to open an enforcement investigation.
- The CFTC declined to confirm or deny whether an investigation was underway when asked about the WSJ report.
- CoinDesk reported earlier Tuesday that a majority of trading volume on Kalshi's bitcoin and ether perpetual markets consisted of identically-sized trades, with ether perp trades clustered around $5,500 and bitcoin perp trades around $2,500 or $5,000.
- Beni, co-founder of research firm Stealth Neolab, found trades of exactly $5,500 made up 48% to 58% of notional volume on four September days, and that Kalshi's ether perpetual recorded about $539 million in 24-hour volume against just $3.1 million in open interest.
- Kalshi spokesperson Elisabeth Diana attributed the patterns to the platform's liquidity incentive program, which rewards participants for providing liquidity, calling such patterns "common in financial markets."
- Diana said Kalshi has "tons of tools" and a "full surveillance team in place" to combat wash trading, and dismissed speculation circulating on X as "rumors seeded by competitors."
Why it matters: The gap between Kalshi's denial and the CFTC's refusal to confirm or deny leaves traders and counterparties unable to assess whether the platform's reported $539 million in daily ether-perp volume — against just $3.1 million in open interest — reflects genuine liquidity provision or wash-style activity, and how the agency ultimately characterizes Kalshi's incentive model could set precedent for volume reporting across the prediction-market sector.
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