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- Baltimore Ravens start Joe Fagnano at quarterback against Jacksonville in Week 9's Thursday Night Football game after entering last week with one of the NFL's best starting quarterbacks and a highly reliable backup.
- SportsLine favors three Week 9 wagers: the Ravens +10, Over 39.5 total points and Derrick Henry Over 16.5 carries; together they form a +360 same-game parlay, risking $100 to profit $360.
- Jeff Hochman supports taking the Ravens +10, citing Jacksonville's last-place Run-Stop-Win Rate, DaVon Hamilton's absence and Travon Walker's injury; Baltimore enters after three losses, while Jacksonville's first road game in a month comes on a short week.
- Jacksonville Jaguars rank fifth in scoring at 28 points per game, averaged 36.5 over their last two games and won 42-7 over Indianapolis in Week 8.
- Derrick Henry is backed over 16.5 carries as Jacksonville allows an NFL-low 77.4 rushing yards per game and DaVon Hamilton and safety Eric Murray are out for the season; Henry had 11 carries for 53 yards Sunday at Buffalo.
- SportsLine says its 10,000-simulation model gives Over 39.5 a 60% hit rate in Week 9 of the 2026 season; top-rated picks were 60-51 dating to 2024, and players betting $100 were up more than $5,000 since inception.
- DraftKings offers new users $200 in bonus bets plus three free months of NBA League Pass after a $5 bet paid within 21 days; CBS Sports is separately promoting a $1,500 BetMGM bonus-bet offer for the same matchup.
Why it matters: Baltimore's move to Joe Fagnano leaves the Ravens as 10-point underdogs and supports a heavy Derrick Henry workload, making the quarterback change central to both the spread and total. The model quantifies the Over 39.5 at 60% and prices the three-pick same-game parlay at +360, or $360 profit on $100.
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