Jaguars vs. Ravens prediction, odds, time: NFL Week 9 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Baltimore Ravens will start rookie third-stringer Joe Fagnano at quarterback on Thursday night because Lamar Jackson (thumb) and Tyler Huntley (toe) are out.
- Jacksonville Jaguars are a 10-point favorite against Baltimore in the Week 9 game, with an 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff at M&T Bank Stadium and the over/under set at 40 points.
- SportsLine’s model projects an Over 40 after 10,000 simulations, with the outcome hitting 60% of the time and 48 combined points projected; its top-rated NFL picks are 60-51 since 2024 and have returned more than $5,000 for $100 players since inception.
- Jaguars-Ravens matchups have produced an Over in three of the last four meetings; the total also cleared 40 in each of Jacksonville’s last two games and six of Baltimore’s last 10.
- Trevor Lawrence has completed 65.7% of his passes for 1,690 yards, 17 touchdowns and four interceptions across seven starts for Jacksonville.
- Bhayshul Tuten leads Jacksonville’s ground attack with 110 carries for 492 yards and three touchdowns.
- Derrick Henry has carried 158 times for 632 yards and eight touchdowns in Baltimore’s eight games.
Why it matters: Baltimore is a 10-point underdog with rookie Joe Fagnano starting because Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley are out. For bettors, that setup sits alongside SportsLine’s 60% simulated Over 40 rate and 48-point projection, making the high-total call the clearest actionable angle.
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