Ravens vs. Falcons prediction, odds, time: Week 5 'Sunday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Baltimore Ravens (3-1) face the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) on Sunday Night Football at 8:20 p.m. ET from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with Atlanta installed as 3-point favorites and the total set at 43.5 points.
- Lamar Jackson has been ruled out for the Ravens with an ankle injury, a major absence as Baltimore plays its third contest of the season.
- SportsLine's model projects 51 combined points after 10,000 simulations and is backing the Over 43.5 — a play the simulation hits 64% of the time, per the outlet.
- Derrick Henry powers Baltimore's rushing attack with 89 carries for 374 yards and seven touchdowns, while Bijan Robinson counters for Atlanta with 85 carries for 494 yards and four scores.
- The model entered Week 5 on a 55-44 run on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 and is up over $7,000 for $100 players on betting sites since inception, per SportsLine.
- Both teams won in Week 4 — Baltimore 24-18 over Tennessee, Atlanta 45-24 over New Orleans on Monday Night Football — and each is tied for first in its respective division (Ravens with Cleveland, Falcons with Carolina).
Why it matters: With two of the league's most productive running backs — Derrick Henry (374 rushing yards, 7 TDs) and Bijan Robinson (494 yards) — headlining a game without its biggest star QB in Jackson, the model's Over lean basically bets on both ground attacks sustaining drives regardless of who fills in under center for Baltimore.
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