Ravens vs. Falcons prediction, odds, time: Week 5 'Sunday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- The Ravens (3-1) and Falcons (2-2) meet at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta for Sunday Night Football, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET and the Falcons installed as 3-point favorites on a 43.5 over/under
- Lamar Jackson is sidelined with an ankle injury, forcing Baltimore to start without its starting quarterback in the interconference clash
- The SportsLine model projects 51 combined points, with the Over (45.5) hitting in 63% of 10,000 simulations
- Derrick Henry leads Baltimore's rushing attack with 89 carries for 374 yards and seven touchdowns through four games
- Bijan Robinson paces Atlanta's ground game with 85 carries for 494 yards and four touchdowns, backed by Brian Robinson's 44 carries for 194 yards and four scores
- The Over has cashed in six of Baltimore's last 10 games and in each of Atlanta's last two matchups
- The SportsLine model enters Week 5 on a 55-44 run on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 and has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times
Why it matters: With Lamar Jackson sidelined, Baltimore's offensive ceiling becomes the key variable — but the model still sees Tyler Huntley's recent track record (30-plus points in both 2025 starts) and Derrick Henry's seven-touchdown pace sustaining scoring against an Atlanta team that allowed 45 to New Orleans. Bettors weighing the 3-point spread must decide whether the Jackson downgrade drags total points below the model's 51-point projection or whether both ground games push the Over regardless.
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