2026 U.S. Open odds, picks: Sunday predictions by golf model that's called 17 majors
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- Wyndham Clark sits at 7 under after an even-par Round 3, opening a six-shot lead over Scottie Scheffler, Sam Stevens, Sahith Theegala, and Tom Kim — the largest 54-hole U.S. Open lead since Rory McIlroy in 2011, with the Clark-Scheffler final pairing teeing off at 2:30 p.m. ET
- FanDuel lists Clark as the -310 favorite (risk $310 to win $100), with Scheffler at +700 as he pursues the career Grand Slam, and no other golfer listed below +2500
- SportsLine's model is fading Sam Stevens across outright, top-5, and top-10 markets, projecting an 11th-place finish Sunday despite his T2 position, citing his 72 on Saturday and lack of a PGA Tour win
- Xander Schauffele draws model backing in the top-5 market at +110, entering Sunday T6 at 1 over with three career top-5 U.S. Open finishes and no finish lower than T14 at the event
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has hit 17 majors entering the weekend, including the 2026 Masters, and simulated the rest of the U.S. Open 10,000 times to generate top-30 projections
Why it matters: Clark's six-shot cushion is the largest 54-hole U.S. Open lead in 15 years, making the outright winner market largely a formality; the actionable value shifts to top-5, top-10, and top-20 markets where the model is making specific calls, notably fading Stevens despite his co-runner-up position and backing Schauffele for a top-5 at plus-money.
