2026 U.S. Open odds, picks: Sunday predictions by golf model that's nailed 17 majors

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- Wyndham Clark sits at 7 under entering the final round at Shinnecock Hills, holding a six-shot advantage — the largest 54-hole lead at the U.S. Open since Rory McIlroy in 2011.
- Scottie Scheffler, Sam Stevens, Sahith Theegala, and Tom Kim are tied for second at 1 under, all six strokes behind Clark.
- Clark is listed at -310 outright odds at FanDuel Sportsbook; Scheffler is +700, and no other golfer is priced below +2500.
- The SportsLine model (built by DFS pro Mike McClure) projects Sam Stevens to finish 11th despite his T2 position, citing his lack of a PGA Tour win and a best major finish of T23.
- The model favors Xander Schauffele (+110 top-5) entering Sunday T6 at 1 over, noting his three career U.S. Open top-5s and that T14 is his worst finish at the event.
- Sunday's first tee time is 7:45 a.m. ET, with the final pairing of Scheffler and Clark going off at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Why it matters: A six-shot 54-hole lead — the largest at the U.S. Open in 15 years — makes Clark a -310 favorite, requiring $310 risked to win $100, while Scheffler at +700 remains the lone realistic challenger with a career Grand Slam on the line. The model's outright fade of T2 co-runner Sam Stevens (projected to fall to 11th) offers bettors a contrarian top-10/top-20 angle against a player priced at +4000.



