The coming war with Russia: a European road to ruin — SkimNews
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- NATO, EU and E3 leaders are preparing Europe for war with Russia by 2030, with Russia likely to preempt the timeline in the second half of 2026 once its warnings are ignored, the analysis argues.
- Russia would strike drone and missile production sites in Britain's Midlands, the Ruhr and outside Bordeaux with conventional ballistic and hypersonic missiles in response to increased E3 weapons deliveries to Ukraine.
- The US would decline to fight under Article 5, the scenario argues, citing ammunition depletion from a recent war in Iran, no domestic appetite and upcoming midterms.
- Russia would systematically dismantle Europe's energy infrastructure using the same precision applied to Ukraine's grid since 2022, halting 12.8 million barrels per day of hydrocarbon imports.
- Russian submarines deploying to the North Sea and Atlantic with a wartime blockade would trigger insurers to withdraw cover, collapsing Europe's farming, fishing and food logistics within three months.
- British and French leaders would sue for peace on Russia's terms within three months, with the author noting nuclear deterrents are designed for homeland defense rather than conventional rescue.
- The author calls for a public European debate on the trajectory's risks, proposing diplomacy over escalation.
Why it matters: The article's scenario claims three months to military defeat and a 12.8 million-barrel-per-day import shutdown — costs the author says European publics should debate before leaders finalize a trajectory with no diplomatic off-ramp. European citizens are the stakeholders bearing the full price tag.
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