Steelers vs. Browns odds, picks: First touchdown predictions for Thursday Night Football in NFL Week 4 — SkimNews

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- Jaylen Warren is the pick to score Pittsburgh's first touchdown at $0.17 on Kalshi, set to handle the bulk of the backfield work with Rico Dowdle sidelined and serving as a checkdown option for Aaron Rodgers.
- Denzel Boston is the pick to score Cleveland's first touchdown at $0.06, with the article citing his rapport with Deshaun Watson and deep-shot potential after a 46-yard TD in Week 1 and a 55-yard score in Week 2.
- Harold Fannin Jr. ($0.07) and Quinshon Judkins ($0.14) are flagged as Cleveland's top offensive weapons but were passed over in favor of Boston's big-play upside.
- The Steelers' secondary concerns are cited as a factor in the Boston pick, with the team having just traded Joey Porter Jr. to the Cowboys — a roster move the cross-coverage headlines from other outlets do not surface.
- Quinshon Judkins ($0.14) and DK Metcalf ($0.08) sit behind Warren on the Steelers' first-TD board, with Pat Freiermuth and Roman Wilson tied at $0.05.
- Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55 is promoted throughout for a $55 sign-up bonus on $25+ in trades, making the article's commercial angle align with the promo-code-heavy headlines from other CBS Sports coverage of the same game.
Why it matters: The Porter Jr. trade to Dallas directly weakens a Steelers secondary that Cleveland could exploit early, which is the concrete reason Boston is favored over the higher-priced Judkins and Fannin Jr. for Cleveland's first score. For bettors, the article frames a low-total game where first-TD pricing reflects a short-yardage Steelers run versus a deep-ball Cleveland shot, two opposing game scripts that sharpen the value question on each pick.
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