NC State vs. Stanford prediction, odds: Week 8 college football Friday picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- NC State enters Friday’s game at 3-3 overall and 1-2 in ACC play after losing both road games and suffering its first home loss to Wake Forest in Week 6; the Wolfpack have scored 15 points across their last two road ACC games and averaged 2.0 yards per carry over their last two games.
- Stanford enters at 3-4 overall and 1-3 in ACC play after beating Elon in Week 7 following back-to-back defeats by 50-plus points to Notre Dame and Wake Forest.
- NC State is a 6.5-point favorite over Stanford in Friday’s Week 8 game, scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET at Stanford Stadium, with the over/under set at 55.5 points.
- SportsLine Projection Model favors Under 55.5 after 10,000 simulations, projecting 54 combined points and a 53% Under hit rate; NC State went Under in Week 6 and Stanford in Week 7.
- Davis Warren ranks fifth in the nation in pass attempts but 30th in passing yards, while Stanford’s offense ranks 127th of 128 FBS teams in scoring and has produced seven or fewer points in four of its last five FBS games.
- SportsLine Projection Model says one side of the NC State–Stanford spread hits in more than 50% of simulations, but the article withholds which side and directs readers to SportsLine for the spread and money-line selections.
- SportsLine Projection Model entered Week 8 on a 59-49 run on top-rated college football picks at betting sites, returning nearly $600 for $100 players.
Why it matters: For bettors, the model produces a 53% Under hit rate across 10,000 simulations, only three percentage points above a coin flip, while NC State remains a 6.5-point favorite. Stanford’s 127th-ranked scoring offense and NC State’s 15 points across two road ACC games are the concrete numbers behind the total call.
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