Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, odds, time: 2026 NFL Week 8 picks by advanced model — SkimNews
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- Broncos host the Chiefs at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+ from Empower Field at Mile High in Week 8, with Bo Nix facing Patrick Mahomes; Denver is 5-2 with three wins in succession, while Kansas City is 5-1 after its first loss, a 20-3 setback at Seattle, and remains a 1.5-point favorite.
- Chiefs beat Denver 31-10 in Week 1, but the Broncos have won the last three meetings on their home field.
- Patrick Surtain II is set to return for Denver after a three-game absence caused by an ankle injury.
- SportsLine ran 10,000 simulations and picked the Under 41.5, projecting 41 combined points with 55% value; its top-rated picks were 58-51 dating to 2024, with the model up more than $5,000 for $100 players since inception.
- Broncos games are 5-2 for the under, while Chiefs games are 4-2, the recent split cited alongside the model’s 10,000 simulations projecting 41 combined points.
- Chiefs held three of six opponents to 10 points or fewer; Denver ranked in the bottom 10 in both rushing and passing and held its last three foes to 14-17 points in victories.
- Kenneth Walker III leads Kansas City’s high-powered offense with 701 rushing yards, while the Broncos prefer a run-first approach.
Why it matters: Bettors have one clearly quantified target: the model’s 41.5-point under, valued at 55% and projected at 41 combined points. Because the side of the 1.5-point spread is not disclosed, the total is the only explicitly named selection for this matchup.
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