Model picks Giants, Seahawks to cover Week 4 spreads — SkimNews
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- SportsLine's computer model locked in picks for every Week 4 matchup and enters the week on a 54-43 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024, returning over $7,000 for $100 players since inception.
- The model projects the Giants (+2.5) cover against the Cardinals, noting New York leads the NFL in time of possession on offense and starting field position on defense, with the cover hitting 50%+ and the Over 56% of the time.
- The Seahawks (-7) cover against the Chargers in nearly 60% of model simulations; LA has dropped six straight games and scored 17 or fewer in each, while Justin Herbert has 10 TDs versus 11 turnovers over his last 10 games.
- Week 4 is the final 16-game slate before byes begin in Week 5, with the Ravens (-11.5) over the winless Titans and Vikings (-10) over winless Miami standing out as the heaviest spreads on the board.
- The league makes its first London trip of the season with Colts vs. Commanders (Indy -4.5), but Jayden Daniels has been ruled out with an elbow injury.
- Monday's Saints-Falcons matchup has New Orleans as a 2-point favorite and marks the 20th anniversary of the 2006 "Domecoming" game in New Orleans.
Why it matters: With the model on a 54-43 run on top-rated picks and Week 4 being the final 16-game card before byes thin the schedule, bettors get one last full-slate shot. The Giants' NFL-leading time-of-possession edge and the Chargers' six-game 17-or-fewer scoring drought are the specific analytical threads behind the picks, not just hunches.
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