Trump Presses Iran to Capitulate as Geneva Talks Set

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- Trump is questioning why Iran has not "capitulated" despite a major US naval build-up in the Middle East, special envoy Steve Witkoff told Fox News on Saturday, using the word repeatedly.
- Witkoff described Trump as "curious" rather than "frustrated" with Iran's refusal to concede, noting Trump had warned of a limited military strike if no nuclear deal is reached.
- Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said Sunday a diplomatic solution remained possible "based on a win-win game" and that Tehran is preparing a draft agreement to deliver to Witkoff in the coming days.
- Oman announced the next round of indirect US-Iran nuclear talks is set for Geneva this Thursday, following a 17 February meeting that both sides called productive.
- Trump said Thursday the world would find out "over the next, probably, 10 days" whether a deal is reached or the US takes military action, setting a tight deadline that brackets Thursday's talks.
- The US has deployed the USS Gerald R. Ford and USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike groups, plus destroyers, combat ships, and fighter jets, to the region.
- Anti-government protests returned to Iranian universities including Sharif over the weekend — the first large-scale rallies since January's crackdown that killed at least 7,015 people per Hrana — with students raising the pre-1979 Lion and Sun flag and chanting "Javid Shah."
Why it matters: Trump's roughly 10-day ultimatum, Thursday's Geneva talks, and the dual carrier deployment converge into a single decision window: Iran must produce a draft deal and make concessions, or the US is publicly positioned to pivot to a limited military strike. Inside Iran, the university protests — the first since a crackdown that killed at least 7,015 — show simultaneous domestic pressure on Tehran, meaning any deal would land against a backdrop of popular defiance the regime can ill afford to appear weak before.
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