Steven Spielberg Disclosure Day aims $65M+ worldwide
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- Disclosure Day is tracking a $35M North American opening and $65M+ worldwide across 73 offshore markets, with the $115M Universal/Amblin production expected to take No. 1 domestically if it hits the mark.
- Rotten Tomatoes critics score for the film has eased from 90% to 85%, placing it above Spielberg's War of the Worlds and A.I. (both 76%) but below Close Encounters of the Third Kind (91%) and Minority Report (89%).
- The film casts Emily Blunt as apparently psychic alongside Colin Firth, Josh O'Connor, Colman Domingo, Wyatt Russell, and Eve Hewson — framed as a 1970s-style thriller (Parallax View-style) with attuned animals rather than UFOs or laser-emitting creatures, though spoilers include alien cameos.
- Spielberg's original sci-fi films have historically posted ~3x domestic multiples (Minority Report, War of the Worlds), with A.I. at 2.7x — well short of his franchise work like Crystal Skull ($100.1M three-day opening) and Jurassic Park ($50.1M).
- Foreign opening comps cited are One Battle After Another ($27M foreign bow with previews) and Arrival ($26.4M), with the UK, France, Germany, and Australia expected to be Disclosure Day's strongest overseas markets.
- Elsewhere in the frame, Obsession (directed by Curry Barker) looks to post ~$20M in its fifth weekend, pushing its running domestic total to $161.2M and past Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu ($158.3M).
- Masters of the Universe (second weekend, $34.7M running domestic) and Backrooms (third weekend, $143M running domestic) are both tracking ~$12M, while Bleecker Street's Stop! That! Train! opens in 1,157 locations with a 92% RT score and a low-single-digit outlook.
Why it matters: At a $115M net production cost, Disclosure Day's $35M tracking would land it in line with Minority Report's $35.6M three-day — solid for an original Spielberg sci-fi, but far below his franchise openings. The film's profitability therefore leans on his historical ~3x domestic multiple and international holdover rather than opening-weekend dominance, making its critical reception (the 85% RT) a key lever for legs.
