A loss to rival Oklahoma hurts, but it will take a lot more to derail Texas' College Football Playoff path — SkimNews
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- Oklahoma rallied from a 10-point deficit to stun No. 1 Texas 27-24 on a last-second field goal Saturday, yet the CBS Sports CFP Forecaster still projects Texas at a 66.8% chance to reach the playoff.
- A 10-2 Texas would carry a 100% projected CFP inclusion rate per the Forecaster, with multiple victories likely over teams ranked by the CFP committee.
- Texas' Week 2 win over No. 5 Ohio State and Week 4 road win at Tennessee keep its resume in the top 5 even after the loss, with four of the next five games against Week 7 AP-ranked opponents and six of the final seven against teams that have been ranked in the top 16.
- If every SEC team finished 9-3, only Oklahoma would rank ahead of Texas in resume score, and a three-loss Longhorns team would outpace potential two-loss Big Ten contenders including UCLA, Indiana, Iowa, Nebraska, Wisconsin, and Northwestern.
Why it matters: Texas can absorb one and likely two more losses without losing its CFP foothold, because the September win over Ohio State and a punishing remaining SEC slate (six of seven games versus top-16 opponents) give the Longhorns resume equity softer-schedule Big Ten peers like UCLA, Indiana, and Nebraska simply cannot match at the same loss count.
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