LSU vs. Texas A&M prediction, odds, time: 2026 Week 4 college football picks from advanced model — SkimNews
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- No. 10 LSU hosts No. 23 Texas A&M at 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, with both teams entering 2-1 overall and 0-1 in SEC play after Week 3 losses
- Texas A&M fell 31-21 at unranked Kentucky last week, while LSU dropped a 31-21 decision at Ole Miss in Lane Kiffin's return to The Grove
- LSU is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest lines, with the over/under set at 51.5 points
- Texas A&M has won each of the last two meetings, including 49-25 at home last year, though LSU leads the all-time series 36-25-3
- The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every FBS game 10,000 times and is 22-19 on top-rated CFB picks this season, projects the game to go Over 51.5 points with about 53 combined projected
- Recent trends strongly favor a high-scoring affair: each of the last four meetings produced at least 64 combined points, LSU's last four games averaged 62.3 points, and the Over hit in 8 of A&M's last 9 road games
Why it matters: Both teams are 0-1 in SEC play entering Saturday, so the loser falls two games back in conference standings. The model projects one side of the 8.5-point spread hitting over 60% of simulations, with last year's 74-point result and the Over hitting in 8 of A&M's last 9 road games reinforcing a high-scoring lean.
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