Patriots vs. Seahawks predictions, odds, spread, date: 2026 NFL Kickoff Game picks, bets from computer model — SkimNews
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- Seattle Seahawks will host the New England Patriots in the 2026 NFL Kickoff Game on Wednesday, Sept. 9 at Lumen Field — a rematch of last season's Super Bowl that Seattle won 29-13.
- Both clubs finished 2025 at 14-3; the contest is Mike Vrabel's first season opener as New England's head coach and marks only the second time the NFL Kickoff Game won't be played on a Thursday.
- The latest odds list Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite with the over/under at 44.5, and the SportsLine projection model — on a 53-37 run on top-rated NFL picks since 2024 — projects a combined 46 points after 10,000 simulations, backing the Over.
- New England added three-time All-Pro A.J. Brown in the offseason and used its first-round pick on an offensive tackle to protect quarterback Drake Maye, while Seattle rookie Jadarian Price (first-round pick out of Notre Dame) is set for a heavy early workload after Kenneth Walker III's departure and a Zach Charbonnet injury.
- Historical trends back the Over call: it went 7-2 when Seattle was a home favorite last year (best mark in the NFL, min. three games), 11-6 in New England's regular-season games, and hit in each of the last six regular-season meetings between these teams.
- The model also says one side of the 3.5-point spread is hitting in well over 60% of its simulations, though that specific side is gated behind a SportsLine subscription.
Why it matters: For bettors, the model's picks carry concrete numerical weight — a 53-37 documented run on top-rated NFL picks since 2024, plus a 60%+ spread confidence and an Over projection of 46 points anchored by three independent trend lines (7-2 home-favorite Over, 11-6 Patriots Over, 6 straight regular-season meetings Over) — making this more than a generic lean. Because the game doubles as the league's marquee opener and a Super Bowl rematch, early line movement will be sharper than a typical Week 1 matchup.
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