Tulane vs. Charlotte prediction, odds: Week 9 college football Friday picks by advanced model — SkimNews
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- SportsLine simulated Tulane–Charlotte 10,000 times, projected 49 combined points and found the over 47.5 was the value 56% of the time.
- Tulane was 3-4 overall and 1-2 in the AAC after a 42-19 loss to UTSA, still had strong bowl hopes, led the recent series 2-0 and was an 8.5-point favorite at -345 on the money line.
- Charlotte earned its first win, 38-31 on the road at Temple, to sit at 1-6 overall and 1-2 in the AAC after several blowout losses.
- Tulane’s offense ranked near the bottom of FBS at 20.3 points per game, although Johnnie Daniels rushed for 394 yards at 6.0 per carry and Maurice Turner for 315 at 8.5; turnovers and red-zone problems hindered the attack.
- Tulane’s defense allowed 417 yards per game, while Charlotte allowed 40.6 points per game; the source says neither team had a defense to lean on.
- Cole Gonzales had thrown for 802 yards but with seven interceptions for Charlotte, which had also seen the over hit in three straight 49ers games.
- SportsLine labeled its undisclosed spread selection an A-rated pick, said one side would hit almost 70% of the time in 10,000 simulations and offered access only through SportsLine.
Why it matters: For bettors, the actionable distinction is confidence: SportsLine’s disclosed over selection is a 56% projection, whereas the spread pick is described as hitting nearly 70% of simulations but is available only through SportsLine. Readers therefore cannot verify the stronger spread selection from the article itself.
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