Memphis Favored by 7 Over Tulane Friday; Model Backs Under — SkimNews
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- Memphis (5-1, 2-0 American) visits Tulane (2-3, 0-1 American) on Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET at Benson Field at Yulman Stadium in New Orleans, installed as 7-point favorites with the over/under at 55.5.
- Memphis is coming off a 38-13 win over UAB and has won three straight, while Tulane has lost two of three, including a 20-17 decision at Army last week.
- The SportsLine Projection Model, after simulating the matchup 10,000 times, recommends Under 54.5 — paying +100 versus -114 on the Over — and projects neither team reaching 30 points.
- The total opened at 53.5 and moved to 54.5, pushing the model toward the Under; the Under has cashed in Tulane's last two games and three of five overall this season, and Memphis just went Under against UAB.
- Tulane has won three of the last four meetings against Memphis despite trailing 25-16-1 in the all-time series, including a 38-32 upset last season.
- The model also flags one side of the spread hitting in over 60% of simulations and enters Week 7 on a 48-40 run on top-rated college football picks, per SportsLine.
Why it matters: For bettors, the model spots value where the line opened at 53.5 and moved to 54.5 — Under pays +100 versus -114 on the Over — while its spread pick hits in over 60% of 10,000 simulations. Memphis looks to stay unbeaten in AAC play, but Tulane has taken three of the last four meetings despite the all-time 25-16-1 deficit.
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