Arkansas State 3-point favorite; model picks Under vs South Alabama — SkimNews
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- South Alabama (3-2) visits Arkansas State (2-3) at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. ET, coming off a 52-35 blowout of Louisiana Monroe while the Red Wolves dropped a 23-20 decision to Louisiana
- Arkansas State is a 3-point favorite with the over/under set at 59.5 — the second-highest total of the Week 6 FBS schedule — and a money line of -162
- Arkansas State is 1-1 at Centennial Bank Stadium this season, and the source frames the series as a Sun Belt rivalry the home side 'desperately needs to protect'
- Bishop Davenport has quarterbacked South Alabama steadily, while Trey Owens has thrown four interceptions in Arkansas State's season-opening loss to Memphis and is described as a developing signal-caller who needs a clean game to keep pace
- The SportsLine model projects 54 combined points, tags Under 59.5 as a value play 65% of the time, and identifies one spread side that hits in over 60% of simulations
- The model enters Week 6 on a 40-35 run across top-rated college football picks after simulating every FBS game 10,000 times
Why it matters: Bettors following the SportsLine model's top-rated college football picks enter Week 6 on a 40-35 run, and with the model tagging Under 59.5 as a 65% value play and one spread side clearing in over 60% of 10,000 simulations, Thursday's South Alabama-Arkansas State tilt is the latest opportunity to convert that track record into a profitable bet.
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