Texas Tech vs. Colorado prediction, odds: Week 5 college football picks by proven model — SkimNews
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- Texas Tech (4-0, 12th-ranked) opened as a 12.5-point road favorite at Colorado (2-2) for Saturday's 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff at Folsom Field, with the over/under set at 50.5 — the lowest O/U of any Red Raiders game this season.
- Colorado is making a quarterback change, with Utah transfer Isaac Wilson slated to make his Boulder starting debut after the Buffaloes managed just 13, 7, and 14 points in their three games against FBS competition.
- The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the matchup 10,000 times and projects 49 total points, with the Under 50.5 hitting in 53% of simulations, while the model also has one side of the spread hitting over 70% of the time.
- Will Hammond leads Texas Tech with 968 passing yards, 4 TDs, and 5 INTs, while J'Koby Williams and Cameron Dickey have combined for more than 500 rushing yards to power a balanced run game.
- Texas Tech is 1-4 all-time in Boulder, and Colorado won last year's meeting in Lubbock 41-27 after its Big 12 return, with Joseph Williams (361 yards, 4 TDs) giving Wilson a top-tier target.
- The SportsLine model enters Week 5 on a 32-24 run on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $600 for $100 players this season.
Why it matters: Colorado's offensive collapse — under 15 points in all three FBS games — forced a quarterback switch to Isaac Wilson just as an undefeated Texas Tech squad favored by nearly two touchdowns arrives in Boulder. The SportsLine model's 49-point projection against a 50.5 over/under reflects a bet that Wilson's debut and a Red Raiders defense that has limited opponents will keep the total low.
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