Kent State vs. Sacramento State prediction, odds, time: Week 9 college football Friday picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Kent State travels to Sacramento for the first-ever meeting between the programs, kicking off at 10:30 p.m. ET from Hornet Stadium as seven-point favorites with the total set at 46.5.
- Sacramento State sits at 1-7 overall and 0-5 in the MAC in its first FBS season, riding a six-game losing streak after a 34-17 defeat to Ball State.
- Kent State (3-5, 2-2 in MAC) snapped a three-game skid with a 35-20 Week 8 win over Akron, one of only two winless MAC teams alongside the Hornets.
- SportsLine Projection Model simulated the matchup 10,000 times and landed on Over 46.5, projecting 51 combined points and hitting the Over in 63% of simulations; the Over went 3-1 for both teams in games under 50 points, 3-1 for Kent State on the road, and the total was eclipsed in Sacramento State's last home game.
- Sacramento State ranks 127th of 138 FBS teams in scoring defense, with Kent State at 115th; the Hornets have fewer takeaways than all but two teams in college football, while the Flashes allow a 67.4% completion percentage, eighth-highest in the sport.
- SportsLine Projection Model finds one side of the spread hitting in nearly 70% of simulations, but the article withholds which side, directing readers to SportsLine for the pick.
- SportsLine Projection Model entered Week 9 on a 68-59 run on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $400 per $100 bettors, while the page carries a Kalshi promo code worth a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades and a Polymarket code worth $25 after a $10 deposit.
Why it matters: For bettors, the seven-point favorite tag sits alongside a 51-point projected total: Kent State ranks 115th and Sacramento State 127th of 138 FBS teams in scoring defense, and the Over hit in 63% of the model's 10,000 simulations. The same model is 68-59 on top-rated college football picks, returning nearly $400 per $100 bettors.
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