Broncos vs. Rams predictions, odds, spread, time: Week 3 'Sunday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Los Angeles Rams visit Empower Field at Mile High as 1-point favorites for the 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff, with the line having dropped 1.5 points from its Rams -2.5 opener.
- Denver Broncos come in 9-1 at home since last September after a 20-13 Week 2 win over Jacksonville, while the Rams enter 5-4 on the road in 2025 following their 28-6 rout of the Giants.
- SportsLine's model projects 43 combined points across 10,000 simulations, giving the Under 44.5 value in 55% of runs; the Under has hit in three of the past five Rams-Broncos meetings.
- Matthew Stafford is completing 66.1% of passes for 482 yards, four touchdowns and two interceptions through two games, while Bo Nix mirrors the 66.1% completion rate with 419 yards, two TDs and two picks.
- Puka Nacua is inactive for a second straight game due to a hip injury, removing a key target from Stafford's passing attack.
- SportsLine's model entered Week 3 on a 53-41 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024, having returned well over $7,000 for $100 players on NFL betting sites.
Why it matters: The model's 55% Under edge aligns with two of the league's stingier defenses — Denver allowed the second-fewest yards (278.2) and third-fewest points (18.3) last season, while the Rams ranked 10th in points allowed at 20.4. With Nacua sidelined and both quarterbacks producing identical 66.1% completion rates on modest yardage, bettors weighing the spread get a tighter read than the headline pick suggests.
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