Broncos vs. Rams predictions, odds, spread, time: Week 3 'Sunday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- SportsLine's model simulated Rams-Broncos 10,000 times and projected 42 combined points, with the Under 44 hitting in 55% of simulations.
- Los Angeles Rams sit as 1.5-point road favorites (down from -2.5 at open) with a -129 money line and 44-point total for the 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High.
- Matthew Stafford leads the Rams offense at 66.1% completions, 482 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions through two games, while Bo Nix matches the 66.1% completion rate for Denver with 419 yards, two TDs, and two picks.
- Rams receiver Puka Nacua is doubtful with a hip injury, a notable absence for a 1-1 Los Angeles team coming off a 28-6 Monday night win over the Giants.
- Denver's defense ranked second in yards allowed (278.2) and third in points per game (18.3) in 2025, while the Under has cashed in five of the Broncos' last six games and three of the Rams' past four.
- The model enters Week 3 on a 53-41 run on top-rated NFL picks dating to 2024 and is up over $7,000 for $100 players since inception, per SportsLine.
Why it matters: Two of the NFL's better defenses square off with both teams at 1-1 and chasing early-season separation, and the 44-point total has dropped 1 point from its opener, reflecting sharp money on the Under. With Nacua doubtful, the Rams' receiving corps thins against a Denver secondary that ranked top-three in yards allowed last season. Bettors following the model have profited over $7,000 per $100 wagered since its launch.
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