Patriots vs. Bears prediction, odds, time: 'Thursday Night Football' picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- Patriots improved to 4-2 after a 26-19 win over the Jets, remaining second in the AFC East with a 1-2 road record this season
- Bears moved to 4-2 by defeating the Falcons 31-23, tying Green Bay for second in the NFC North and going 2-1 at home
- Romeo Doubs (shoulder) was placed on IR, leaving Patriots without the WR for Thursday’s game at Soldier Field
- Kyle Monangai (toe) is out for Bears, depriving Chicago of the RB as they host New England at 8:15 p.m. ET
- SportsLine's model simulated the game 10,000 times, projecting 44 combined points and favoring the Under 50.5, which hits 66% of the time in simulations
- Chicago opened as 3-point underdogs but now holds a 3-point advantage, with the total rising from 48.5 to 50.5 points
- SportsLine's model has gone 58-48 on top-rated NFL picks since 2024, returning over $5,000 for $100 bettors at betting sites
Why it matters: With both teams in tight division races and key players sidelined, the line movement and model projection give bettors a data edge: Chicago covering a 3-point spread and a low-scoring game could shift risk-reward calculus for live and futures markets involving AFC East and NFC North outcomes.
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