Alabama vs. LSU prediction, pick, odds, spread: Crimson Tide, Tigers collide in Death Valley — SkimNews
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- Alabama and LSU are scheduled to meet Saturday, Nov. 7, at 3:30 p.m. ET in Baton Rouge, marking the rivalry’s 91st meeting and the 25th time both schools will be inside the AP Top 15.
- LSU has gone 32-3 in its last 35 home games at Tiger Stadium, while Alabama holds a 58-27-5 series advantage and a 13-2 record in the past 15 meetings.
- Alabama’s offensive concerns include 21 sacks allowed in SEC play (14th among 16 teams), fewer than 70 rushing yards in each of its last two games, and starting center Racin Delgatty missing multiple games.
- LSU’s passing attack, improved by Sam Leavitt and Jackson Harris, averaged 339.5 yards over four October games and now leads the SEC at 318.0 yards per game, also tied for seventh nationally; Harris has seven touchdown catches in his last five games at 17.6 yards per reception.
- Lane Kiffin is 0-5 against Alabama as a head coach, including four losses from 2020-23 with Ole Miss and one in 2009 with Tennessee, and Saturday gives him another attempt against his former Alabama program.
- Kalen DeBoer is 21-8 against AP-ranked teams, a .724 winning percentage ranked fourth in AP poll history among coaches with at least 20 games, and he has won eight straight games after a bye.
- Sam Leavitt and Keelon Russell supply the scoring potential in a game the preview says could be decided by both defenses; the stated pick is under 52.5, with LSU favored to make big plays late.
Why it matters: For the 52.5-point total, Alabama’s +7 turnover margin (tied for 11th nationally) supplies the takeaways-and-stops route described in the preview, while LSU answers with the SEC-leading offense at 318.0 passing yards per game. Alabama’s 21 sacks allowed in SEC play (14th of 16 teams) shows how much the Tide’s offensive health matters to that matchup.
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