LSU vs. Mississippi State prediction, odds, time: Week 7 college football picks from proven model — SkimNews
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- No. 22 LSU (4-2, 1-2 SEC) hosts No. 16 Mississippi State (4-1, 2-1) at noon ET in Tiger Stadium, with both teams coming off defeats — LSU a 35-34 overtime loss at Kentucky, MSU a 56-23 home loss to Alabama
- LSU opened as a 17.5-point favorite over the Bulldogs, with the over/under set at 55.5 in the latest Mississippi State vs. LSU odds
- Mississippi State lists star quarterback Kamario Taylor and running back Fluff Bothwell as doubtful for Saturday's matchup
- The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the game 10,000 times and projects 63 combined points, backing the Over 55.5 at what it calls a 65% value rate — the Over has hit in 60% of games involving these teams
- Mississippi State quarterback Leavitt has thrown for 1,495 yards and 10 touchdowns but also eight interceptions, with turnover issues and inconsistent late-game execution cited as concerns
- SportsLine's model enters Week 7 on a 48-40 run on top-rated college football picks, returning more than $400 for $100 players over that stretch
Why it matters: Both teams' defenses were just exposed — MSU allowed 56 to Alabama and LSU surrendered 35 in overtime to Kentucky — which is exactly the kind of recent form backdrop that makes a 63-point projection and 65% Over value rating actionable for bettors following SportsLine's 48-40 model, which has historically profited $4-for-$1 on top-rated CFB picks. Mississippi State may also be down to a backup QB with Kamario Taylor listed doubtful.
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