Scheffler +550 at 2026 Masters; Model's Surprising Picks
Get the Sports newsletter
Daily sports — scores, transfers, the storylines from the leagues you actually follow. Free.
- Scottie Scheffler is the +550 favorite for the 2026 Masters, the clear frontrunner according to oddsmakers, and tees off Thursday at 1:44 p.m. ET at Augusta National
- SportsLine's model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated the Masters 10,000 times and has nailed 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters (its fourth straight)
- Ludvig Aberg, a +1700 favorite, is the model's top fade pick — projected to finish well outside the top 5 despite two strong Masters appearances (solo 2nd, solo 7th), with his OWGR slipping to No. 17 and four missed cuts in eight career majors cited as factors
- Tommy Fleetwood at +2200 is the model's value target, with a T3 at Augusta in 2024 and four top-10s in 2026 cited as evidence his game is trending up for a run at his first major
- First-round play begins at 7:40 a.m. ET on Thursday, April 9, with the model also flagging two longshots priced above +4000 — one around +8000 — as potential leaderboard surprises
Why it matters: For bettors building Masters cards, the model's 16-major track record gives its contrarian calls weight: fading a popular favorite like Aberg and backing a +2200 longshot like Fleetwood could reshape expected value calculations. With Scheffler's dominance already priced into the +550 line, the actionable edge may sit deeper on the odds board — exactly where the model is pointing.
