Reevaluating 32 bold NFL predictions, five weeks in: Which are on target, and which need a do-over? — SkimNews
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- Keon Coleman is on pace for 761 receiving yards with 224 through five weeks, putting him on track for a preseason prediction of 750+ yards and 5+ TDs despite a 7-yard outing Monday.
- Isaiah Likely leads the Giants with 33 receptions, ahead of Malik Nabers' 29, confirming a preseason prediction that the tight end would lead New York in catches.
- Alontae Taylor sits at exactly 1.4 yards allowed per coverage snap, precisely hitting a prediction for the Titans after they signed him off a 1.0-yard 2025 season.
- Jordan Love posted a 94 QBR in Green Bay's 31-7 win over the Bears in Week 5, reviving an MVP prediction that had looked dead after a slow start.
- Chase Brown has just one total touchdown through five games, putting his 15-TD prediction in serious jeopardy despite the Bengals' league-easiest remaining schedule.
- Terrance Ferguson is on IR, but his 8-TD prediction survives because his Week 2 line (9 targets, 6 catches, 1 TD with Puka Nacua out) confirmed the bull-case thesis.
Why it matters: Five weeks of data separates substance from wishcasting — Coleman's yardage pace and Taylor's precise 1.4-yard coverage regression are tracking while Chase Brown's 15-touchdown prediction already looks out of reach after one score. Preseason predictions that hold up under five games carry more signal than offseason projections built on team narratives and free-agent signings.
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